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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
453 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
453 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is anticipated through tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorm chances will increase late Tuesday afternoon and
especially Tuesday evening as a cold front moves into the area. Some
of the storms will likely be severe with all severe weather hazards
possible. This frontal boundary will remain in the vicinity
Wednesday and Thursday, with additional rounds of strong to severe
storms expected, along with locally heavy rainfall.

An active weather pattern will persist through the weekend, with
daily thunderstorm chances continuing.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
310 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
310 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms are possible this evening into through early hours
Tuesday, though the risk remains low (15-25%) and very conditional
based on available lift and moisture. The primary hazard would be
lightning, though a nonzero chance exists for damaging winds to
55mph and small hail.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances increase Tuesday evening through Wednesday
evening bringing a greater potential for severe weather. Damaging
winds will be the main threat with these storms, but large hail,
a spinup tornado or two, and flooding are secondary threats.

Daily 30-50% chances for showers and thunderstorms exist through
Memorial Day Weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Camden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
215 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-211915-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
215 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm potential returns Tuesday, with severe weather
possible across all but far western Oklahoma. Episodes of severe
weather will continue Wednesday and Thursday. Thunderstorm chances
will continue over portions of the region through next weekend, so
stay aware of the latest forecasts.

.Flooding...
The potential for flooding rainfall will increase Wednesday and
Thursday, mainly across southeast Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
441 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-012-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>151-211200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-Bienville-
McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-
Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
441 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A few thunderstorms will be possible in southeast Oklahoma late
Tuesday night as a frontal boundary begins to approach the I-30
corridor. As this boundary slowly shifts southward and begins to
stall across the area on Wednesday, scattered to numerous
thunderstorms are likely to develop in it`s vicinity by the
afternoon. Some of these thunderstorms may be strong to severe and
also carry the threat for heavy rainfall. Another round of strong to
severe thunderstorms will be possible again on Thursday before the
frontal boundary washes out and drifts east of our Four-State area.
Isolated thunderstorm activity will continue each afternoon on Friday
and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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